Uk politics

Sunday

James Forsyth

It’ll take more than Eddie Mair to stop Boris

From our UK edition

I’ve just watched the Boris interview with Eddie Mair and I have to say, these dogs won’t hunt. Mair threw three accusations at Johnson and I think all three of them are dealable with. The first was an allegation that Boris had made up a quote, something that he lost his job at The Times for. Now, I suspect that anything in which Boris can claim the defence that he had only moved something from ‘before Piers Gaveston’s death’ to after it isn’t going to end a political career. Also considering that Boris rose to journalistic prominence after this incident, it is hard to claim that it is disqualifying. The second was about his affair with Petronella Wyatt. Again, I don’t think this is career ending stuff.

Isabel Hardman

Eddie Mair to Boris Johnson: “You’re a nasty piece of work aren’t you?”

From our UK edition

Boris Johnson makes a tricky interviewee. He's charming, vague, witty and able to turn the conversation to his advantage with his ornate language and humour. If all else fails, he does something with his hair. But today the Mayor of London met his match with the equally charming and witty Eddie Mair on the Marr Show. Mair confronted him not just with persistent questions about his ambitions, but also clips from this week's documentary on Johnson which appeared to show him discussing whether to hand over the details of a journalist to his friend Darius Guppy so Guppy could have him "physically assaulted." Mair then moved in for the kill.. "And you, having heard that, tell your friend that that you will supply the address. What does that say about you, Boris Johnson? Making up quotes.

Saturday

James Forsyth

No thawing in Ed Miliband’s attitude to the Liberal Democrats

From our UK edition

Ed Miliband’s interview with The Times today is striking for the language he uses about the Liberal Democrats. There’s no attempt to follow up last week’s Clegg, Miliband outflanking of Cameron with a love bombing of the deputy Prime Minister. Instead, there’s an emphasis that it would be ‘very difficult to work in a future Labour government with somebody who has taken the opposite position in a Tory government’. There are no warm words for Vince Cable either: “He flirts with the right position but doesn’t consummate it." I think this reveals two things. First, Miliband knows that the coalition is surprisingly solid; it is not going to collapse anytime soon whatever the differences over press regulation.

Friday

Sebastian Payne

It’s down to the House of Lords to save the bloggers

From our UK edition

On Monday, Parliament will decide the future of blogging in this country. As the government's press regulation proposals stand, blogs big and small would come under the new press regulator. This would make bloggers liable for significant compensation sums (aka exemplary damages), fees for joining the regulator as an ‘associated member’ (newspapers join as full members) as well as for increased legal costs. While the proposals could send bloggers rogue, to host their sites abroad and out of Parliament's jurisdiction, others who can’t face the hassle may decide to close down. The problem stems from Leveson’s lack of concern for (or understanding of) the Internet. His report devoted just one page to the Internet.

Isabel Hardman

Migrants debate looms as PM prepares immigration speech

From our UK edition

It's not just Nick Clegg who is having a good long think about immigration at the moment: David Cameron is as well. He's got a big immigration speech on Monday, which shows how spooked the parties are by UKIP that they feel they need to at least address the topic, even if they insist that they're not adopting Nigel Farage's terms of debate. As he writes his speech, Cameron will probably have in mind the looming problem of how many Romanian and Bulgarian migrants are coming to this country when transitional controls lift at the end of 2013. If he doesn't, he should, because that backbench debate from Mark Pritchard on this issue now has a date: 22 April.

Isabel Hardman

Clegg aims for ‘sensible’ 2015 manifesto with immigration speech

From our UK edition

Nick Clegg gave his 'sensible' immigration speech this morning. He started off by agreeing with Labour's Yvette Cooper that politicians shouldn't enter an 'arms race of rhetoric', and then spent a considerable part of the speech either attacking Labour or backing a policy that his own colleagues had previously attacked: a security bond system for immigrants from 'high-risk' countries to cut down on people overstaying their visas. It's also a policy that Theresa May backs. And what he doesn't back anymore is the idea of an amnesty for illegal immigrants, which was a big Lib Dem policy in 2010. Clegg said: 'But despite the policy's aims, it was seen by many people as a reward for those who have broken the law. And so it risked undermining public confidence in the immigration system.

Douglas Murray

Dreaming of systems so perfect that no one will need to be good

From our UK edition

I have a piece in this morning's Wall Street Journal (Europe) on our new press regulations titled 'We have the newspapers we deserve': 'I have just finished studying a diagram aimed at explaining Britain's new press laws. After having a lie-down, one single line keeps running through my head. Oddly enough it isn't 'recognition appointments panels,' 'regulatory appointments panels' or even 'standards and compliance arms,' memorable though all these are. 'The line is from T.S. Eliot, who almost eight decades ago derided those people who spend their days 'dreaming of systems so perfect that no one will need to be good.'' The whole piece is here.

Isabel Hardman

Why Scary Graphs help the Tory plotters

From our UK edition

Without wanting to dwell too much on those Scary Graphs from the IFS yesterday, there's one political point that's worth mulling about the ones that charted the future of departmental spending. George Osborne knows that his 'pain tomorrow' approach means the years after 2015 are going to see even more cuts to public spending. He's not the only one: it's something that those Tory MPs who love a good plot believe is a key selling point for backbenchers who aren't involved in the Coalition in any way, such as Adam Afriyie.

Clarissa Tan

Do politicians know what they’re doing with the Royal Charter?

From our UK edition

I witnessed my first-ever PMQs last week. It was, as my friend and Spectator colleague Isabel Hardman told me, not a raucous a PMQs as can usually be. Yet for me, it seemed a pretty lively parliamentary debate and — at the risk of sounding hopelessly naive — a bit of a treat to actually see important things being debated for all to see. I wonder if UK politicians know that the Royal Charter they have drawn up may one day come back and bite their butts? For what they're proposing finally influences an entire nation's conversation. If they have their way, the UK is headed for press regulation, the first time its media will be under state licensing in 300 years. It's a sad hour not only for British journalism, I think, but for journalists everywhere.

Thursday

Sebastian Payne

The View from 22 — Peter Lilley vs. George Eustice on press regulation and the 2013 Budget

From our UK edition

The Spectator has categorically said 'NO' to signing up to the government's new regulatory body, but why are MPs so divided? In this week's View from 22 podcast, Peter Lilley — who has spoken in support of The Spectator's position — goes head-to-head with George Eustice, David Cameron's ex-press secretary, over the Royal Charter agreed by the three parties this week, how it came to pass and what lies ahead for Fleet Street. Listen below to hear more about how divided the Tories are over the issue. Fraser Nelson and James Forsyth also join to discuss George Osborne's 2013 budget and in particular, the prominent role of the Monetary Policy Committee and the arrival of Mark Carney. Is the new Bank of England governor a knight in shining armour from Canada?

Alex Massie

Referendum Spin: Beware the Tory Bogeymen!

From our UK edition

So we have our date with destiny. Scotland will march to the polls nine days after the 501st anniversary of the Battle of Flodden. September, 18th 2014. There are fewer than 600 days to go. And already the spin is starting. Stephen Noon, that smart nationalist strategist, is first out the blocks with a post asking who would stand to benefit from a No vote? His answer should not surprise you. Noon thinks David Cameron's own re-election campaign will be boosted if Scotland says no to independence: Labour and Tories may share a platform and campaign together before the vote, but as soon as the votes are counted there would be only one person in the No victory spotlight. Peer into that future and what do you see? It's David Cameron, UK PM, alone on the winner’s podium.

Isabel Hardman

Hacked Off says press damages plan is a mistake

From our UK edition

So the latest twist in the surreal saga of statutory regulation of the press is that the campaign group which had unparalleled access to the three parties hammering out a settlement in the silent watches of the night now thinks there's been a terrible mistake. Whoops! Hacked Off has put out a statement this afternoon which says the amendments to the Crime and Courts Bill approved by MPs on Monday night contain 'an accident in the drafting' and is now trying to change the amendments so that they won't impact bloggers and small publishers. You can read the full statement here, but this is the key section: 'The amendments are the work of Conservatives in government and not of Labour, the Liberal Democrats or for that matter Hacked Off. 'They have not been endorsed in any way by Hacked Off.

Douglas Murray

Somehow, I’m agreeing with Mehdi Hasan

From our UK edition

I won’t often say this, but there is a must-read article at the Huffington Post today. Titled ‘The Sorry Truth Is That the Virus of Anti-Semitism Has Infected the British Muslim Community’ it is a reflection on the recent anti-Semitic outburst by Lord Ahmed of Rotherham. It an admirably honest piece of writing the author says: ‘It pains me to have to admit this but anti-Semitism isn't just tolerated in some sections of the British Muslim community; it's routine and commonplace Sounds like the writing of some terrible ‘Islamophobe’ doesn’t it?

Isabel Hardman

The never-ending fuel duty story

From our UK edition

One other point worth noting from today's IFS post-Budget briefing was the way the government has dealt with fuel duty over the past few years. Here's a table showing how things have worked out in Budgets and Autumn Statements: So now there isn't another fuel duty increase until September 2014. But when I spoke to Robert Halfon yesterday, he seemed pretty content to let the government off from now on, given they've 'done more than any other government in the last 10 years on this issue'. But as the Treasury Select Committee argued after the Autumn Statement, a medium-term strategy for fuel duty would make a great deal more sense, even if it prevented Chancellors in future years from producing a rabbit out of their hat for worried backbenchers. We didn't see that in this Budget, though.

Isabel Hardman

IFS: Osborne’s austerity means more pain, not jam, tomorrow

From our UK edition

George Osborne's critics like to deride him as the 'jam tomorrow' Chancellor. But according to the post-Budget briefing the Institute for Fiscal Studies gave this afternoon, he's the 'pain tomorrow' Chancellor instead. It's not that things really aren't getting better, but that the bulk of the pain in terms of spending cuts and tax rises isn't just not over, it's not even here yet. The IFS team gave a series of presentations (in case you hadn't sunk into a pit of misery after Fraser's six scary graphs yesterday) showing that yesterday's Budget will lead to big tax increases and spending cuts from 2016 onwards. Paul Johnson, IFS director, said there was a 'heavy hint' that the consolidation needed would come from tax: 'There are other changes too which might frighten Whitehall departments.

Hamish Macdonell

Salmond goes for the surprise referendum date

From our UK edition

Always the showman, Alex Salmond did the unexpected today when he announced that the referendum on Scottish independence would be held on Thursday September 18 2014. He knew everyone was expecting it to be in October so he chose something different. He knew, we knew: everyone, it seemed, knew, that the events of 2014 have been so carefully planned in the Nationalist calendar that it seemed impossible for the First Minister to choose another date than October. The 700th anniversary celebrations of the Battle of Bannockburn will take place at the end of June 2014. This bout of Nationalist patriotic outpouring will be followed by the Glasgow Commonwealth Games in July and August – which will see even more waving of Saltires.

Rod Liddle

Just cutting spending isn’t enough. Osborne needs to invest as well

From our UK edition

Economic growth for the next year is predicted to be lower than 1.0%. I can’t think, offhand, or a more obvious indication that the Chancellor is gripped by some sort of weird paralysis which will result, for the rest of us, in continually declining standards of living. I have no great objection to many of the cuts he has made; and believe, à la Dr Fox, that he could be still more stringent. However, he should also be investing heavily in stuff which will see our economy grow – science, engineering, what used to be called 'public works'. Simply cutting spending will not promote growth. Simply investing in the productive parts of the economy will not clear our debt. We need to do both, no?

James Forsyth

The durable coalition

From our UK edition

This time last week, Westminster was full of speculation about alternative coalitions. Politics-watchers, myself included, all started speculating about what the Clegg Miliband alternative coalition on press regulation meant. But the Budget was a reminder of how solid the coalition actually is. The Quad still agrees on the government’s economic strategy. Vince Cable — as his recent essay demonstrated — may have his doubts. But it would be hard to find much distance between Cameron, Clegg, Osborne and Alexander. Indeed, it was striking the relish with which Danny Alexander tore into Labour’s Chris Leslie on Newsnight last night. Going through the whole Budget, it is — unlike last year — quite hard to find the coalition trade-offs.

Alex Massie

The Boys of the Green Brigade

From our UK edition

Och, now's the hour and now's the day for the Historic Announcement of the Historic Date for Scotland's Historic Referendum on Independence. It's only taken the SNP the best part of two years to get to this point and, of course, there's only another 18 months or so to wait for the Historic Day itself. So today's parliamentary announcement is hardly the stuff legends are built from. Never mind. But this being a banner day for the SNP and all that, let us pause to recall one of the party's most dismal - yet telling - failures. I refer, of course, to the Offensive Behaviour at Football and Threatening Communciations Act. This preposterous, cock-eyed, bill has proved just as illiberal and capricious as its critics predicted.

Isabel Hardman

Forget beer and petrol: will MPs debate monetary policy today?

From our UK edition

MPs are debating the detail of the Budget today, and will doubtless pick over some of the lines from George Osborne's round of interviews this morning, particularly the confusion over whether Help to Buy is available for those buying second homes. There are plenty of queries about whether the government's new mortgage plans are actually very wise at all. The debate will inevitably focus on the doorstep issues on taxes and cuts. But will MPs talk about one of the most important elements of yesterday's announcement? It wasn't on petrol, and it wasn't beer duty. It actually concerned monetary policy.