Uk politics

What will the Lib Dem ‘red line’ on a ‘Snooper’s Charter’ mean for a future coalition?

From our UK edition

One of the obsessions that will only get worse over the next few months - along with checking every poll that comes out every day to see whether you’re six points up, four points behind, or level-pegging - is what ‘red lines’ the parties will set out for their Coalition negotiations. David Cameron has made his EU referendum one, and it turns out that this isn’t as much of a problem for the Lib Dems as all their huffing and puffing on the subject would have you believe. Nick Clegg has been setting more red lines because he is the leader of the party that wants to talk about coalitions, as opposed to the two main parties that would still like to talk about majority governments, however implausible that may now seem.

Tories drop weak policy areas for ‘six election priorities’ launch

From our UK edition

Why have the Conservatives left out immigration and the NHS - two of the three issues that voters consistently cite as the most important in forming their decision about who to back in the General Election - out of their list of six priorities? Among the deficit, jobs, taxes, education, housing and retirement there is no room for the health service, immigration or Europe: which also tend to be the things David Cameron and Ed Miliband fight most vehemently over at Prime Minister’s Questions. Labour is very pleased about this, and is pretending to be very cross that the Prime Minister is ignoring the NHS.

Boffo new Tory election strategy: reinforce negative stereotypes

From our UK edition

Following the success of the Tories' last anti-UKIP strategy session, I've been leaked details of the latest election planning at CCHQ: [...] I say, what's the most damaging - and widely-held - perception about the Conservatives? Hmmm. That we're the party for the rich? Most unfair, I think we can all agree. Right, moving on, what's next? Let's cut inheritance tax.  Hurrah!   It's the least we can do for ordinary wealthy Britons...  If it weren't for Ed Miliband this election would be over by now. Thank heavens for Ed, then.

Why Cameron doesn’t want any TV debates

From our UK edition

Before Christmas, David Cameron tightened up the rules about ministers going overseas. He wanted them in this country campaigning as much as possible. But, unsurprisingly, his visit to President Obama in Washington this week hasn’t fallen foul of his edict. This trip to Washington is the source of much satisfaction at the heart of government. There are some serious issues on the agenda—the world economy and cybersecurity—but as one of those involved in preparing for it admits, ‘‘There’ll be some crunchy stuff, but it’ll be a very nice photo op, too!’.

Circle’s exit from Hinchingbrooke is a serious blow to competition in the NHS

From our UK edition

This morning’s announcement by Circle that it will be leaving the contract to run Hinchingbrooke Hospital makes it even more difficult politically for anyone who believes in greater competition in the NHS to make their case. Opponents of private sector involvement in healthcare provision will say - with good reason - that this shows you cannot trust anyone other than the public sector to stick with a hospital in the tough times. Proponents will point out that ultimately providers leaving is better than entrenched failure. But in a way Circle needed to perform in a way that was atypical of the market: I had to succeed and it had to sty the course of its contract. That it hasn’t puts back the case for markets in the health sector by a very long way.

David Cameron will refuse to take part in the TV debates if the Greens are not included

From our UK edition

Unsurprisingly, David Cameron has this afternoon said he won’t take part in the TV election debates if the Greens are no included in one of the line-ups. Currently the proposal is for Cameron vs Miliband, then Cameron vs Miliband vs Clegg, then Cameron vs Miliband vs Clegg vs Farage. The Greens have been excluded, as have the SNP and Plaid Cymru. This is the exchange between the Prime Minister and ITN’s Tom Bradby: Me; 'Time is running out; are you saying you are not going to go in as it stands unless at least the Greens are in?' Him; 'Correct.' — tom bradby (@tombradby) January 8, 2015 Why is Cameron so anxious about the Greens all of a sudden?

Refusing the Greens ‘major party’ status is bad for voters (but good for the Greens)

From our UK edition

Who benefits from Ofcom’s daft draft ruling that the Greens not be listed as a ‘major party’ for the General Election? Well, though the Greens are cross and have warned about the ‘damage it risks doing to British democracy’, they must know that this will help cement their credentials as an anti-establishment party. Nothing quite like a ruling shutting you out from having the same number of party political broadcasts as the major parties to make your supporters feel as though the Establishment is out to get you. And that sort of feeling is good for attracting supporters. It certainly worked after the broadcasters decided they would exclude the Greens from the television debates: the party’s membership shot up.

Lost in translation: How Iain Duncan Smith shocked Angela Merkel

From our UK edition

Angela Merkel is in London officially to talk about the G7 and unofficially to discuss David Cameron’s hopes for a reformed European Union that Britain can stay in. But while she’s here, she might want to ask after one of Cameron’s colleagues, Iain Duncan Smith. Duncan Smith likes to tell Tory constituency parties the tale of the time the pair attended a summit on benefits. Mostly the summit was attended by EU leaders, but Cameron sent IDS in his place. After sitting through a very long and dull speech from one of the delegates, Duncan Smith finally got his opportunity to speak. He began by saying how grateful he was it was his turn, and that he had almost lost the will to live by this point.

Labour seeks urgent question on A&E crisis

From our UK edition

Andy Burnham has put in a request for an urgent question on the A&E crisis, I have learned. The question, which the Speaker has yet to decide whether or not to grant, is as follows: URGENT QUESTION Rt Hon Andy Burnham MP To ask the Secretary of State for Health if he will make a statement on the major incidents that have been declared at a number of hospitals and on A&E performance in England. This might seem rather unsurprising at first glance, and it would be on any other day of the week. Today Ed Miliband will face David Cameron at PMQs and as I blogged earlier, it would be extremely odd if he didn’t use his questions to the Prime Minister to ask about the NHS.

How will Ed Miliband use the A&E crisis at PMQs?

From our UK edition

Towards the end of 2014, David Cameron was finding PMQs ‘boring’. He knew that it was turning into a session where each week both he and Ed Miliband basically said the same thing over and over again, usually with a long string of statistics that the other couldn’t quibble while in the Chamber. He would talk about the importance of a strong economy, while Miliband would talk about the NHS. And then everyone would filter back out of the Chamber having learned nothing. Well, today the Prime Minister will probably find PMQs takes the same ‘boring’ format, but if Miliband crafts something less stunningly dull than a string of statistics (which both men are guilty of) then he could make the exchanges really quite difficult for the Prime Minister.

The A&E crisis must be all my fault, obviously

From our UK edition

A preview of Hugo Rifkind's column in this week's Spectator, out tomorrow... Oh, I see. So it’s my fault. There I was, thinking that the general swamping and near collapse of accident and emergency services in hospitals across Britain might be the result of, you know, some sort of systemic problem within the NHS. With me, a mere member of the public, just being an occasional victim. But no! Apparently it’s all because I took my wailing two-year-old daughter in, one Sunday afternoon last year, to get some antibiotics for her ear. This is good to know.

Exclusive: Vince Cable will lose his economy job with the Lib Dems tomorrow

From our UK edition

Vince Cable will tomorrow lose his job as Liberal Democrat economy spokesman for the election, Coffee House understands. The party is set to announce its team of leading spokespeople for the General Election and I have obtained names in advance. Cable's demotion in favour of Danny Alexander has been expected for a few months now. The Business Secretary will speak for the party on business. A well-placed source indicates that Lynne Featherstone will continue covering home affairs, Jo Swinson is due a job of some description and it’s likely that Baroness Susan Kramer will continue speaking on transport. However, there will be no role for Kramer’s colleague in the Lords, Baroness Lindsay Northover.

Has Ukip given up persuading one would-be Tory defector?

From our UK edition

Has one Ukip defection become less likely? Before Christmas, top Tories were falling over themselves to tell Basildon and Billericay MP John Baron how much they valued him and how seriously they were taking his demands for proper compensation for nuclear test veterans. Baron was very high on the list of MPs likely to defect to Ukip, and did little to assuage the fears of his colleagues by saying things like ‘never say never’ when asked if he might leave the Tories. But this week Ukip selected a candidate in his constituency, which suggests that the party has given up on the Tory MP moving over to join the People’s Army.

Jim Murphy vs. Diane Abbott: will Miliband rein him in?

From our UK edition

How far will Jim Murphy be allowed to go? Yesterday, the Scottish Labour leader proposed funding extra nurses through the Mansion Tax — something his colleagues south of the border aren't particularly happy with. On the World at One today, the Hackney MP and potential London Mayoral candidate Diane Abbott attacked Murphy, and at first forgot his name, for 'jumping the gun' on the Mansion Tax. She argued London will be unduly hit by this policy and the super-wealthy will avoid it: ‘I’m very surprised John…Murphy’s making these boasts. I support the Mansion Tax in principle, I support the union and redistributive taxation but there are two big problems about the Mansion Tax. It is effectively a tax on London — 80 per cent of it will come from London.

The Laws according to David

From our UK edition

As Westminster clatters back to life after the Christmas break, so the steady stream of invitations land on Steerpike's mat. Don't all rush at once, but David Laws will be giving a speech this month at the Institute of Government on 'effective government in 2015 and beyond'. While this will no doubt be riveting feast of wonkery, it is a bold move by the senior Liberal Democrat minister. The speech is to launch the the Institute's 'Programme for Effective Government' report which 'outlines a series of practical measures for parties to adopt in making sure they honour their party manifestos'. Is this really something that a leading light of Nick Clegg's party is really qualified to lecture on?

Does anyone in London actually know how the Barnett Formula works?

From our UK edition

We've just had two years of intensive constitutional politics. Time enough, you'd think, for even London-based politicians and commentators to work out how British politics actually works. But if you think that you'd be wrong. Very wrong. Consider our old friend the Barnett Formula. Antiquated and not entirely fit for purpose - it being a 1970s convenience that was itself an updated version of the 1880s Goschen Formula - but hardly a mystery or a terribly complicated piece of financial wizardry. And yet it seems that almost no-one in the Westminster village actually understands how Barnett works. Yesterday, you see, Jim Murphy promised that he would use Scotland's share of the proceeds from Labour's so-called Mansion Tax to hire an extra 1,000 nurses north of the Border.

Is the NHS ‘crisis’ too complex for politicians to solve?

From our UK edition

Is the NHS in crisis, or isn’t it? Jeremy Hunt doesn’t want to use the word, telling the Today programme that ‘there’s a huge amount of pressure’, while Norman Lamb argued that ‘I wouldn’t describe it as a crisis’ but ‘I readily acknowledge that the system is under intense pressure’. Few politicians want to describe something they’re notionally responsible for as ‘in crisis’ (though Lamb isn’t afraid to use pretty strong language about some areas of his portfolio, including mental health). But whatever word they use, ministers know that things aren’t hunky dory in accident and emergency departments at the moment - and this hasn’t been a cold winter.

Will any party really offer an election message of ‘hope, not falsehood’?

From our UK edition

Ed Miliband today promised that Labour will offer ‘hope, not falsehood’ in its General Election campaign. It’s a bold pledge given the party is making so much of the claim that the Tories want to reduce public spending to levels not seen since the 1930s - a claim that has foundations made of something oddly similar to sand. Similarly the Tories have today produced an interesting dossier that Miliband’s party has interestingly called ‘dodgy’ because it contains a number of ‘assumptions’. As James explains, that’s part of the plan, as Labour now has to say which cuts it wouldn’t reverse and which it would.

Nick Clegg’s new year pitch for eternal power

From our UK edition

Nick Clegg has clearly had an exciting Christmas. He used his first press conference of the year to talk about people playing footsie, exes leaving late-night voicemail messages, frantic January sales shopping and body parts. He was using all these vivid images, dreamt up while he was working out how to deal with Labour’s ‘decapitation strategy’ in his own constituency, to make a pitch for him to remain in power for as long as possible. Forever, hopefully, but at least after the next General Election. The Deputy Prime Minister warned repeatedly of the risks of 'having a parliament which is held hostage, every hour and every day and every week, by a shifting array of factionalist parties’.