Gordon brown

Is Anyone Thinking Strategically?

The MPs' expenses scandal has been a devastating distracttion. It has been an essential process. But it is a distraction all the same. How many times have commentators now said the country is now facing a political crisis to match the economic crisis? This is not the whole story. The economic situation means that people's anger about the venal behaviour of their MPs is intensified to the point of  fury. But the MPs' scandal is just a sideshow to the main problem, which is a serious political vacuum at the top of British politics. No one is now listening to Gordon Brown any more. His position has become absurd.

Chipmunk Hunting

Amidst the public riot over parliamentarians' expenses, the story of Hazel Blears remains oddly fascinating. And story is the operative word, given that she appears to be the sole cabinet minister singled out for opprobrium despite the fact that several of her colleagues have enjoyed equally shady and profitable dealings with the Fees Office. Since she's had the gall to criticise the Prime Minister you can see why Downing Street is Chipmunk Hunting, making it clear that her actions were "unacceptable" and all the rest of it. But if Blears is guilty - or guilty enough to be forced out of the cabinet - then surely Alastair Darling and Geoff Hoon shoul also be for the chop?

A Collective Sigh of Relief

Watching Newsnight tonight it felt like a dam had broken. Three MPs from the main parties having an open discussion about the future of politics post-Speaker Martin, Jeremy Paxman relaxed and cracking jokes about the growing groundswell of support for Chris Mullin to become speaker: it was all rather extraordinary. The three MPs, Chris Mullin, Douglas Carswell and Norman Baker were all unusually courteous and differences of opinion were argued about amicably. All very peculiar. One thing they all agreed on was the importance of strengthening the select committee system. Actually, I think some of these committees do a very good job. But they do not have enough power and the appointment of their chairman and women still relies on party patronage. Perhaps this will change now.

What Next?

The real question for Labour now is how the party will rebuild itself. This has important democratic implications: we have witnessed how an over-mighty government can operate without the scrutiny of a strong oppoistion over the past decade and it is often not a pretty sight. But there is a serious problem for the Labour Party here. If the collapse continues for much longer there will be no one of any seniority or experience left standing. Some will think this is no bad thing and that the Labour Party needs a completely fresh start. But I have always felt there is considerable talent in the younger generation of Labour politicians and it would be a tragedy if the baby was thrown out with the bathwater. There has to be an argument for that generation to take control now.

The Real Significance of the Telegraph Story

So tomorrow's Telegraph has the full gruesome details of parliamentary expenses. This is terribly embarrassing for the Cabinet and would have been no more than that in different times. But the problem is that the government has now become synonymous in the public imagination (or at least the media's imagination) with the wider collapse of political morality. In the case of most members of the Cabinet this is certainly not the case - and the release of these details certainly doesn't prove it. But it doesn't matter in the wider scheme of things because the country has turned against this government. Nothing they can do is right even when it is. The smallest misdemeanour is judged a serious crime. That's just how it is when the political tide has turned.

The Ultimate New Labour Insult

Mental illness has always taken up a lot of space in the lexicon of New Labour,  I have always thought Alistair Campbell's own brush with the black dog had something to do with this. From Ron Davies's "moment of madness" to Gordon Brown's "psychological flaws", the terror of incipient madeness has always been a New Labour nightmare. I wrote about this tendency a few years ago but recent events have brought me back the subject. It was telling that Damian McBride's emails contained references to Frances Osborne's state of mind - as if it would be a bad thing that she was upset by her husband's political misfortunes.

Hazel Takes the Reins

Hazel Blears knows exactly what she's doing by intervening in print during the Labour Party's darkest spring. Think of it the other way around. Ministers know that when the Prime Minister pledges 100 per cent support then it's curtains. It's a sign of the declining authority of Number 10 that this rule has now been inverted. Cabinet loyalty is assumed. It should not have to be asserted. Hazel Blears is stating the obvious, which is very dangerous indeed. Of course the government was on the wrong side of the gurkha debate, of course it is failing to communicate with the voters, of course the YouTube performance was a disaster. But Cabinet ministers are not supposed to say these things.

The Generation Game

The rhododendron flowers are out, so it must be time for the  big beasts of the Labour Party to stir again. Charles Clarke has said that he's ashamed to be a Labour MP after the events of the past few weeks. Well, who wouldn't be? Clarke says there are no signs of a leadership challenge, but I'm not so sure. I think Frank Field is right that if the European and local elections on 4 June are as bad as expected, we might see a summer of serious speculation about Brown's position. We are back preceisely where we were last summer. David Blunkett has entered the fray again. I thought he was rather good on the radio this morning: sounding a warning without sounding disloyal. But he is right that there has been a "catastrophic meltdown of trust".

Worse Still

Just to clarify. I didn't intend to suggest in my last post that Damian McBride's smear tactics would have been excusable if they had worked. Sorry if I gave that impression. I was simply trying to explain the thinking behind the operation. The smears were unacceptable in any circumsatnces The Prime Minister's belated apology suggests that he now knows how toxic this has become. He is right to be angry because McBride has put his government at the mercy of a maverick right-wing libertarian blogger. Quite why he and the people around him became quite so fixated on Paul Staines (aka Guido Fawkes), is completely beyond me.  But they were genuinely obsessed, that much is clear. And if Staines has further emails to drip feed he will be able to torment the government for some time yet.

It Doesn’t Get Any Worse

The revelations over the weekend about Damian McBride's pitiful smear campaign have probably delivered the fatal blow to Labour's chances of winning the next election. The only possible excuse for writing such filth would be that it served the interests of the battle against the Tories. It has had the opposite effect. Most decent people would think twice about voting for a government that permitted such a culture to exist in Downing Street. The poison expressed in McBride's infantile stratagem has fed back into the bloodstream of the party  he was supposed to be serving (let's not pretend for a moment that he was acting as a civil servant in this.

And So it Came To Pass…

It's Easter Sunday and I have better things to do than think about sleazy emails. I'm unlikely to be able to post again about this again today, but I have much to say on the subject and Iain Dale in the Mail on Sunday has already quoted my previous comments about the thuggish company the Prime Minister sometimes chooses to keep. This is very serious for the Prime Minister, especially now Charlie Whelan's name has been associated with the emails. The Tories have asked Gordon Brown to apologise and he probably should. I have always marvelled at the latitude Brown gave to his lieutenants. This has allowed him to distance himself, if necessary, from their activities.

Could It Get Any Worse?

The tawdry tale of Damian McBride's "juvenile and inappropriate" emails about Conservative politicians is pretty grim as it is. But it is just possible to imagine how the situation might be worse. What if someone even closer to McBride were on the circulation list, for example? Someone like Charlie Whelan, for example. That would be truly dreadful. And what if the emails were circulated even further, dragging in others, like Whelan, with close links  to the unions who will fund Labour's next election campaign. Now that is so awful it is almost beyond imagination. Gordon Brown's loyalty has always been his best and worst quality. There are many within the Labour Party who feel McBride should have been shown the door long before his latest indiscretion.

Tribalism: The Curse of Labour

The official line from Number 10 is that Damian McBride's emails were "juvenile and inappropriate" and that all staff will be reminded of the "appropriate" use of resources. Presumably they will also be reminded of how to be grown up. It has been an open secret for some time that there has been mission creep from McBride's supposed backroom role. The formerly neutral Treasury civil servant was moved last October from his job as Gordon Brown's frontline spinner because some, including cabinet ministers, believed he had become a liability. But McBride is an obsessive texter and emailer and it seems he couldn't resist letting his fingers do the walking.

Gordon Brings the International Stage to London

At the height of the internal Labour Party coup against Gordon Brown just before the last Labour Party conference even the Prime Minister's greatest detratctors agreed that he did the international economic stuff rather well. I remember one senior Blairite heavyweight suggesting that after his removal, Brown should be allowed to occupy a new role as a roving economic ambassador. Since then, his reputation for economic competence has undergone an assault from which few would recover. But, whatever his opponents might say (and Fraser is right to say that it was largely done with smoke and mirrors), the G20 summit ended up as something of a triumph or Gordon Brown.

Time Changes Everything

It wasn't so long ago that senior Labour politicians were suggesting that Gordon Brown should use the coup of the G20/Obama visit to bounce straight into an election. It seems bizarre now, but such was the confidence of the Labour Party in those early days of the economic crisis that there were close allies of the Prime Minister urging him to go to the polls this spring. Their only concern was that it might be too late. The ideal time for those urging a snap election (the second in a series of elections that never were) was February. Now, the idea that Brown will do anything but wait until the last minute seems inconceivable, but anything's possible. The other point that now seems obvious is that President Obama is no longer such a novelty.

Some Thoughts on Political History

The brutal truth about politics is that a whole career can often be telescoped into a single defining event. The judgement of history can be particularly cruel on  unlucky Prime Ministers. Ted Heath’s reputation is dominated by the 1972 miners’ strike, Jim Callaghan is synonymous with the “winter of discontent” and Anthony Eden, perhaps the most ill-starred of all post-war PMs, will be forever associated with a single word: “Suez”. All those years of vaulting ambition, grinding thankless work and genuine public service reduced, in the end, to those two damning syllables. And how thin sometimes is that line between success and failure. Who remembers John Major for his remarkable 1992 election victory rather that the crushing 1997 defeat?

The History of the Hain-Brown Ideological Split

Every now and again I find myself reaching for Robert Peston's 2005 book, Brown's Britain. As we are now living in Brown's Britain (perhaps we have been for the past 11 or so years) it is a very useful work of reference. We all know by now that Peston was always there first. The book is particularly enlightening when Peston looks at Brown's early ideological battles within the party.  On page 157 of the paperback edition Peston looks at the what he calls a symbolic "punch-up" with the centre-left Tribune group. In essence this is the group that is most likely to seize control of the Labour Party when Brown eventually loses the leadership, although the Compass fraction (marginally closer to the centre ground) will also be a serious contender.

The Complex Personality of Peter Hain

A good mini-scoop from the Independent on Sunday based on an article from Peter Hain. News stories based on articles by politicians are often the last refuge of a political journalist who has run out of road. But this piece by Jane Merrick and Brian Brady is an exception. The former Work and Pension Secretary is putting his head above the parapet on this one and issuing a rousing call for the Labour Party to return to its true values. He makes similar points in his interview in the Sunday Telegraph, although that newspaper chose to make a little less of them.