Capital gains tax

Who did Bill Ackman think he was electing?

To take on America’s entire governing class and win, Donald Trump proved that he had an inhuman level of willfulness and sangfroid. Those are qualities that cut both ways, however, as the investor Bill Ackman is now discovering.  Wall Street has lost more than $5 trillion in value since the announcement of the new tariff regime last week, but Mr. Trump, speaking on Sunday on Air Force One, appeared deaf to all appeals. How big of a sell-off would the President be willing to endure, a member of the press pool asked. “I think your question is so stupid,” he replied. Many of Trump’s newfound admirers are panicking. Among them is Bill Ackman, manager of the hedge fund Pershing Square and a prominent Democrat defector in last year’s election.

The trouble with unrealized capital gains taxes

No one knows what will come out of the sausage making now going on up on Capitol Hill, but let’s take a look at one proposal to raise money to pay for some of the cost of the reconciliation bill. At the moment, capital gains are taxed only when the asset is sold or the owner dies. (The estate tax is just a tax on capital that is triggered by death rather than by sale.) Oregon senator Ron Wyden proposes that they be taxed every year whether sold or not. Unrealized capital gains are certainly a tempting target. After all, for people like Bill Gates and Jeff Bezos, practically their whole, vast fortunes are capital gains, the cost basis of their stock in Microsoft and Amazon is, at most, a few cents a share.

ron wyden unrealized capital gains tax

The trouble with capital gains tax

President Biden wants to nearly double the tax on income from capital gains, currently at 20 percent, to 39.6 percent. Add to that the 3.8 percent Obamacare surcharge and you’re up to 43.4 percent. Many states tax capital gains as well and in 13 of them (plus the District of Columbia) the total tax on capital gains would be over 50 percent with the proposed new federal rate. In California it would be a staggering 56.7 percent. But it gets worse. Unlike the tax on regular income, the capital gains tax is not indexed for inflation. So with long-held assets, much of the gain is illusory. For instance, if you bought an asset in 1971 for $50,000 and sold it this year for $1,000,000, you would owe taxes on a nominal capital gain of $950,000. At 56.

capital gains tax